Home · Toernooidoelpuntenmakers · Curaçao Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Toernooidoelpuntenmakers · Curaçao
Snapshot · 2026-05-29 Model 1.0.0 Curaçao — P(scoort minimaal 1 doelpunt) Elke speler in de huidige selectiepool van Curaçao, gerangschikt op de modelwaarschijnlijkheid dat zij minimaal een doelpunt scoren in de wedstrijden die Curaçao speelt op het WK 2026. Zie /scorers/ voor de wereldwijde top 50 en /countries/cuw/ voor de verwachte selectie en vermoedelijke basiself.
37 spelers in de pool # Player Pos Form Team outlook P(scores ≥1) Rank 1 Jürgen Locadia PK Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 25.2% ? Rank 2 Brandley Kuwas Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 11.0% ? Rank 3 Jearl Margaritha Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 11.0% ? Rank 4 Gervane Kastaneer Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 8.2% ? Rank 5 Joshua Zimmerman Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 6.1% ?
Rank 6 Rangelo Janga Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 5.2% ?
Rank 7 Sontje Hansen Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 4.9% ? Rank 8 Xander Severina Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 4.8% ?
Rank 9 Jordi Paulina Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 3.9% ?
Rank 10 Jeremy Antonisse Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 3.1% ? Rank 11 Kenji Gorré Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 3.1% ? Rank 12 Tahith Chong Pos FW Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 2.8% ? Rank 13 Kevin Felida Pos MF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 1.7% ? Rank 14 Godfried Roemeratoe Pos MF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 1.6% ? Rank 15 Juninho Bacuna Pos MF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 1.5% ? Rank 16 Livano Comenencia Pos MF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 1.4% ? Rank 17 Leandro Bacuna Pos MF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 1.4% ? Rank 18 Ar'jany Martha Pos MF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 1.0% ? Rank 19 Joshua Brenet Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 1.0% ? Rank 20 Tyrese Noslin Pos MF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.7% ? Rank 21 Rayvien Rosario Pos MF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.7% ?
Rank 22 Juriën Gaari Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.5% ? Rank 23 Sherel Floranus Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.5% ? Rank 24 Roshon van Eijma Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.4% ? Rank 25 Jurich Carolina Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.4% ?
Rank 26 Riechedly Bazoer Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.3% ? Rank 27 Shurandy Sambo Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.2% ? Rank 28 Armando Obispo Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.2% ? Rank 29 Cuco Martina Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.2% ?
Rank 30 Tyrique Mercera Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.1% ?
Rank 31 Deveron Fonville Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.1% ? Rank 32 Jayden Candelaria Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.1% ?
Rank 33 Tommy St. Jago Pos DF Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.1% ?
Rank 34 Eloy Room Pos GK Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.0% ? Rank 35 Leandro Merencia Pos GK Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.0% ?
Rank 36 Trevor Doornbusch Pos GK Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.0% ? Rank 37 Tyrick Bodak Pos GK Form — Team outlook Long shot 3.1 mp P(scores ≥1) 0.0% ? ▸ How to read this table— 4 columns explained
Pos Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1) Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count. Hoe dit wordt berekend. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.
onthepitch
Een onderzoeksplatform voor het FIFA WK 2026.
Methodologie
Forecasts come from a calibrated Ensemble Elo Dixon-Coles Hierarchical Poisson /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up. Tap any abbreviation in a data table for its definition.
How the forecasts score against results — Brier log-loss calibration scoreboard .
Built 11 Jun 09:45 UTC · 0 days to kickoff · Methodology
Sportanalyse en statistisch onderzoek. Modeluitkomsten zijn waarschijnlijkheden, geen aanbevelingen. Eerdere kalibratie biedt geen garantie voor toekomstige nauwkeurigheid. Deze site bevordert of faciliteert geen kansspelen. Terms .