Voorspelling versus resultaat · Round of 32 · Match 7

Mexico vs Ecuador

2026-07-01

De terugblik verschijnt bij het laatste fluitsignaal. Zodra deze wedstrijd afgelopen is, toont deze pagina hoe de bevroren voorafvoorspelling hieronder scoorde tegen de werkelijke uitkomst: Brier score, log loss en uiteindelijk xG versus voorspeld xG. Tot die tijd kun je de wedstrijd live volgen op de live tracker.

Pre-match forecast

Mexico win
27.8%
Draw
34.1%
Ecuador win
38.1%
Mexico
0.68
expected
goals
Ecuador
0.81

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Mexico
8
G. Mora1'–1'

Scored the opening goal for Mexico, setting the tone for the match.

1goals

Match timeline

1'Mexico scores! G. Mora (19) finds the net after a sustained period of pressure.
8
Uriel Antuna

Scored a goal and was an active threat in attack, including from set pieces.

1goals1headers

Match timeline

8
Raúl Jiménez38'–38'

Scored a goal with a composed finish, extending Mexico's lead.

1goals

Match timeline

38'Mexico scores, assisted by Quiñones
7
Guillermo Ochoa

Made several crucial saves to maintain Mexico's lead and ensure defensive stability.

2saves

Match timeline

7
Carlos Acevedo

Made crucial saves, including a diving stop from Yeboah Zamora, to maintain Mexico's lead.

1saves

Match timeline

7
Roberto Alvarado

Provided a dangerous corner kick that created a significant goal-scoring opportunity for Mexico.

Match timeline

7
César Montes75'–82'

Produced a powerful header from a corner that forced a spectacular save, showing attacking threat from defense.

2headers

Match timeline

75'Mexico header from a corner saved by the Ecuador goalkeeper
82'Spectacular save by the Ecuador goalkeeper from a Mexico header
Ecuador
8
Hernán Galíndez75'–82'

Made several excellent and spectacular saves, preventing a heavier defeat for Ecuador.

3saves

Match timeline

75'Mexico header from a corner saved by the Ecuador goalkeeper
82'Spectacular save by the Ecuador goalkeeper from a Mexico header
7
Yeboah Zamora

Showed good individual skill, creating shooting opportunities and forcing saves from the Mexico goalkeeper.

6
Jordy Caicedo

Registered a shot on target that was saved by the Mexico goalkeeper, contributing to attacking efforts.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

3
Piero Hincapié108'–108'

Received a red card for involvement in a late-game confrontation, negatively impacting his team.

1 red

Match timeline

108'Red card shown after a confrontation between players

Match observations

  • The match was played in a vibrant atmosphere with a large and engaged crowd.
  • Mexico displayed strong attacking intent, creating numerous chances and converting two to secure a comfortable lead.
  • Ecuador showed flashes of individual brilliance but struggled to consistently break down the Mexican defence.

Hoe lees je dit. De Brier en log-loss van een enkele wedstrijd zijn ruis: wat telt is hoe de voorspelling kalibreert over veel wedstrijden. Deze terugblik per wedstrijd is een rij van het geaggregeerde kalibratiescoreboard op /docs/calibration/. De voorafwaarschijnlijkheid die hier wordt getoond, is die bevroren voor aftrap; deze is nooit herberekend tijdens de wedstrijd.