Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group H · Matchday 3

SpainvsUruguay

·18:00 local

対戦成績の履歴

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
16 Jun 2013Confederations CupNRecife21W
6 Feb 2013FriendlyNDoha31W
17 Aug 2005FriendlyHGijón20W
18 Jan 1995FriendlyHA Coruña22D
4 Sep 1991FriendlyHOviedo21W
13 Jun 1990FIFA World CupNUdine00D

Spain vs Uruguay, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Spain's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral). See all 10 meetings →

Latest news & match context

Team news
Match conditions
Stage:
Group H · Matchday 3

Both sides have a number of squad members listed as doubtful for this fixture, with one team particularly affected by key absences; unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Spain win
    57.4%
  • Draw
    26.5%
  • Uruguay win
    16.1%

Standard Pass

That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

Standard Pass

See exactly how Spain v Uruguay plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

Get the Pass — $15

24h self-service refund·No subscription, no auto-renewal·Access through 31 Dec 2026. See refund policy.

算出方法。 すべてのゴールプロセス出力は1つの Dixon-Coles フィットを共有しています。詳しくは 方法論.

スナップショット 2026-05-28