予測 vs 結果 · Group A · Matchday 3

Mexico vs Czech Republic

2026-06-24

振り返りはフルタイムに公開されます。 この試合が終了すると、以下の固定試合前予測が実際の結果に対してどう採点されたかを表示します。Brier score、log loss、実際の xG と予測 xG。それまでは ライブトラッカー.

Pre-match forecast

Mexico win
45.6%
Draw
27.5%
Czech Republic win
27.0%
Mexico
1.29
expected
goals
Czech Republic
0.95

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Mexico
9
Julián Quiñones12'–105'

Quiñones was instrumental in Mexico's attack, scoring two goals and providing an assist, showcasing excellent finishing and movement.

4goals2shots

Match timeline

12'Mexico's #14 has a shot blocked inside the penalty area.
17'Mexico's #14 shoots wide of the goal from inside the box.
37'Julian Quiñones (#14) scores for Mexico, making it 1-0.
49'Jimenez (#9) scores Mexico's second goal after a pass from Quiñones, making it 2-0.
105'Quinones (MEX) scores Mexico's second goal, beating the goalkeeper after a through ball.
8
Raúl Jiménez49'–49'

Jiménez scored a crucial goal, demonstrating good positioning and finishing to extend Mexico's lead.

2goals

Match timeline

49'Jimenez (#9) scores Mexico's second goal after a pass from Quiñones, making it 2-0.
8
Luis Chávez51'–51'

Chávez scored a brilliant individual goal, showcasing composure and skill in a counter-attacking move.

2goals

Match timeline

51'Chavez (MEX) scores the opening goal after a counter-attack, dribbling past the goalkeeper.
8
Roberto Alvarado141'–141'

Alvarado sealed the victory with a well-taken rebound goal, showing good predatory instincts in the box.

2goals

Match timeline

141'Alvarado (MEX) scores Mexico's third goal from a rebound inside the box.
8
Guillermo Ochoa23'–98'

Ochoa made several crucial saves throughout the match, maintaining a strong defensive presence and preserving Mexico's lead.

6saves

Match timeline

23'Ecuador's #9 Yeboah Zamora's shot is blocked by Mexico's #3 C. Montes and then saved by the Mexico goalkeeper.
64'Ecuador's #9 Yeboah Zamora's shot is saved by Mexico's goalkeeper #1.
76'A shot from outside the box by an Ecuador player is saved by the Mexico goalkeeper.
96'Ecuador's #11 Rodriguez's shot from close range is saved by the Mexico goalkeeper.
98'Ecuador's #7 Hincapie's shot from outside the box is saved by the Mexico goalkeeper.
7
César Montes23'–23'

Montes provided a solid defensive block, preventing a dangerous shot from reaching the goal.

1blocks

Match timeline

23'Ecuador's #9 Yeboah Zamora's shot is blocked by Mexico's #3 C. Montes and then saved by the Mexico goalkeeper.
7
Edson Álvarez39'–39'

Álvarez effectively cleared a threatening corner, showcasing his defensive aerial ability and awareness.

2headers

Match timeline

39'A Czech corner is cleared by Alvarez (MEX) with a header.
6
Angulo

Angulo contributed to the team's attacking efforts with a shot inside the box, but it was ultimately blocked.

Czech Republic
6
Ladislav Krejčí33'–33'

Krejčí showed some attacking intent with a shot from a free kick, but it didn't lead to a goal.

1shots

Match timeline

33'A free kick for Czech results in a shot by Krechi (CZE) that deflects wide.
6
Yeboah Zamora

Yeboah Zamora created several scoring opportunities but was unable to convert them, highlighting a struggle with finishing.

6
Galindez

Galindez made one spectacular save but conceded multiple goals, reflecting a mixed performance under heavy pressure.

6
Rodriguez

Rodriguez had a late close-range shot saved, showing persistence in attack despite the scoreline.

5
Matěj Kovář

Kovář made an early save but ultimately conceded multiple goals, struggling to contain Mexico's clinical attack.

2saves

Match timeline

3
Hincapie

Hincapie's performance was severely marred by a late red card, which significantly impacted his team's ability to compete.

Match observations

  • The match saw Czechia apply early pressure, creating several chances primarily from set pieces and wide runs.
  • Mexico, however, proved clinical on the counter-attack, converting their opportunities efficiently.
  • The game's momentum shifted decisively after Mexico's first goal, leading to a comfortable victory.

読み方。 1試合の Brier score と log loss はノイズが多く、重要なのは多くの試合にわたるキャリブレーションです。この試合別振り返りは、総合キャリブレーション・スコアボードの1行に相当します。 /docs/calibration/. ここに表示される試合前の確率はキックオフ前に固定されたもので、試合中に再計算されていません。