Prévision vs résultat · Round of 32 · Match 12

Spain vs Austria

2026-07-02

Le récapitulatif sera publié au coup de sifflet final. Quand ce match sera terminé, cette page montrera comment la prévision pré-match figée ci-dessous s'est comparée au résultat réel : Brier score, log loss et xG final vs xG prédit. En attendant, suivez le match en direct sur le suivi en direct.

Pre-match forecast

Spain win
69.7%
Draw
22.5%
Austria win
7.8%
Spain
1.87
expected
goals
Austria
0.67

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Spain
8
Mikel Oyarzabal19'–37'

Scored Spain's crucial opening goal with a clinical and composed finish, breaking the deadlock.

1goals

Match timeline

19'The referee engages in discussion with players, including Alexander Schlager (Austria GK #1) and Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain #21), regarding the disallowed goal.
37'Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain #21) opens the scoring for Spain with a precise finish, making it 1-0.
8
Dani Olmo

Was a constant attacking threat, forcing a brilliant save and hitting the woodwork twice, unlucky not to score.

8
Pedro Porro115'–115'

Scored Spain's second goal with a well-timed run and composed finish from his full-back position.

1goals

Match timeline

115'Pedro Porro (Spain #12) arrives in the box to convert, doubling Spain's advantage to 2-0.
8
Marc Cucurella130'–136'

Was a significant attacking presence, hitting the post before scoring Spain's third goal to seal the victory.

1goals1shots

Match timeline

130'Marc Cucurella (Spain #24) sees his shot rebound off the post.
136'Marc Cucurella (Spain #24) scores Spain's third goal with a composed finish from inside the area.
Austria
9
Alexander Schlager19'–106'

Made multiple crucial and impressive saves, preventing a much larger defeat for Austria despite conceding three goals.

2saves

Match timeline

19'The referee engages in discussion with players, including Alexander Schlager (Austria GK #1) and Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain #21), regarding the disallowed goal.
29'A powerful shot from Spanish Attacker #10 is brilliantly parried away by Alexander Schlager (Austria GK #1).
106'Alexander Schlager (Austria GK #1) makes a smart reaction save from a close-range header.

Match observations

  • Spain secured a dominant 3-0 victory over Austria in a match where they consistently created scoring opportunities.
  • Despite an early disallowed goal, Spain maintained their attacking intensity and found their rhythm in front of goal.
  • Austria's goalkeeper, Alexander Schlager, was a standout performer, making numerous saves to limit the scoreline.

Comment lire ces résultats. Le Brier score et le log loss d'un seul match sont bruités : ce qui compte, c'est la calibration de la prévision sur de nombreux matchs. Ce récapitulatif par match est une ligne du tableau de calibration global à /docs/calibration/. La probabilité pré-match affichée ici est celle figée avant le coup d'envoi ; elle n'a jamais été recalculée en cours de match.