Prévision vs résultat · Group L · Matchday 3

England vs Panama

2026-06-27

Le récapitulatif sera publié au coup de sifflet final. Quand ce match sera terminé, cette page montrera comment la prévision pré-match figée ci-dessous s'est comparée au résultat réel : Brier score, log loss et xG final vs xG prédit. En attendant, suivez le match en direct sur le suivi en direct.

Pre-match forecast

England win
81.9%
Draw
16.6%
Panama win
1.5%
England
2.37
expected
goals
Panama
0.43

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

England
9
Jude Bellingham60'–60'

Scored a brilliant goal, was described as England's best player, and demonstrated exceptional control, technique, and work rate.

2goals

Match timeline

60'Jude Bellingham volleys the ball into the net for England.
8
Harry Kane55'–72'

Scored a crucial headed goal, demonstrating great runs and composure in front of goal.

1goals1shots1on target

Match timeline

55'Panama goalkeeper (22) makes a fine save from Harry Kane's shot.
72'Harry Kane heads the ball into the net for England.
7
Marcus Rashford9'–47'

Created numerous attacking opportunities and tested the goalkeeper multiple times, though he couldn't find the back of the net.

3shots2on target

Match timeline

9'Panama goalkeeper (22) makes a diving save from Marcus Rashford's shot.
33'Panama goalkeeper (22) saves Marcus Rashford's header from a corner.
47'Marcus Rashford's close-range shot hits the side netting.
7
Jordan Pickford22'–80'

Made two crucial saves to ensure England maintained their clean sheet.

3saves

Match timeline

22'Jordan Pickford makes a strong block at the near post from J.L. Rodriguez's shot.
80'Jordan Pickford saves Magway's shot.
6
Elliot Anderson28'–28'

Attempted a shot from distance but it went wide, with no other significant contributions mentioned.

1shots

Match timeline

28'Elliot Anderson's shot from outside the box goes wide.
6
Declan Rice

Mentioned as a player whose presence is needed for increased solidity, but no specific actions or observations from this match were provided.

6
Magway80'–80'

Registered a shot on target that was saved by the England goalkeeper.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

80'Jordan Pickford saves Magway's shot.
5
Noni Madueke

Identified as a wide player needing to improve his form and crossing quality.

5
Bukayo Saka

Identified as a wide player needing to improve his form and crossing quality.

5
Anthony Gordon

Identified as a wide player needing to improve his form and crossing quality.

Panama
9
Luis Mejía

Made multiple crucial and impressive saves, keeping the scoreline respectable despite England's attacking pressure.

6
José Luis Rodríguez22'–22'

Produced a powerful shot on target that tested the England goalkeeper.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

22'Jordan Pickford makes a strong block at the near post from J.L. Rodriguez's shot.
6
José Fajardo86'–86'

Scored a goal that was unfortunately disallowed for offside, showing good attacking instinct.

Match timeline

86'Fajardo scores for Panama, but the goal is disallowed for offside.

Match observations

  • England secured their progression from the group stage, winning their group despite a performance that was not always 'pretty'.
  • The team's success was largely attributed to individual brilliance from key players like Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane, who delivered crucial goals.
  • Concerns were raised about the overall team performance, particularly the consistency and quality of wide players and the manager's settled best XI.

Comment lire ces résultats. Le Brier score et le log loss d'un seul match sont bruités : ce qui compte, c'est la calibration de la prévision sur de nombreux matchs. Ce récapitulatif par match est une ligne du tableau de calibration global à /docs/calibration/. La probabilité pré-match affichée ici est celle figée avant le coup d'envoi ; elle n'a jamais été recalculée en cours de match.