Group J · Matchday 3
Live score, descriptive in-match stats, and a post-match calibration recap appear here once the match kicks off.
Match-outcome probability
Standard Pass for probabilitiesLatest news & match context
- 'Cowardly' Thomas Tuchel blasted for 'coaching catastrophe' in England's World Cup capitulation: Football legends lead outrage at Three Lions' manager's tactics after heartbreaking exit to Argentina · Daily Mail — Football · 16 Jul
- Jude Bellingham slaps Argentina star after England exit World Cup · The Independent — Football · 16 Jul
- World Cup 2026: Tuchel latest after England exit; Argentina players criticised for banner – live · The Guardian — Football · 16 Jul
- 'It's the middle of the goal!': Jude Bellingham left fuming with Jordan Pickford for Argentina's equaliser in World Cup nightmare - as Lionel Messi discovers England star's penalty 'cheat sheet' · Daily Mail — Football · 16 Jul
- World Cup 2026 today: Live updates, news as England suffer semifinal defeat against Argentina - July 16 · ESPN · 16 Jul
- Stage:
- Group J · Matchday 3
- Date:
- 27 Jun
Both squads look close to full strength going into this match.
Le récapitulatif de calibration post-match est gratuit. Quand ce match sera terminé, le récapitulatif prévision-vs-résultat (probabilité pré-match comparée au résultat réel, Brier score, log loss et xG final vs prédit) sera publié sur la page de récapitulatif, en accès libre.
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The model's full forecast for this match
Match-outcome probabilities, the most likely scorelines, scorer probabilities, and the in-match paths. The Standard Pass unlocks them for this match and all 104.
Scoreline distribution
Half-time / full-time
Four models compared
Most likely scorers
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See exactly how Argentina v Jordan plays out
The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.
Every forecast graded against the real result, scored on 987 matches since 2014. See the scorecard.
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