Pronóstico frente a resultado · Round of 32 · Match 2

Germany vs Paraguay

2026-06-29

El resumen se publica al pitido final. Cuando este partido termine, esta página mostrará cómo el pronóstico previo congelado se comportó frente al resultado real: Brier score, log loss y xG final frente a xG predicho. Hasta entonces, síguelo en vivo en el seguimiento en vivo.

Pre-match forecast

Germany win
62.0%
Draw
24.8%
Paraguay win
13.2%
Germany
1.63
expected
goals
Paraguay
0.76

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Germany
8
Kai Havertz35'–59'

Scored Germany's equalizer with a clever header and was a constant attacking threat, creating multiple scoring opportunities.

1goals1shots1on target1headers

Match timeline

35'Germany attacks, Havertz misses a header, Kimmich's shot is blocked.
48'Havertz equalizes for Germany with a flicked header from a cross. Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay.
59'Gill (Paraguay's goalkeeper) makes a great diving save from a Havertz header.
7
Joshua Kimmich35'–35'

A central figure in Germany's midfield, dictating tempo and contributing significantly to both offensive build-up and defensive control.

1shots

Match timeline

35'Germany attacks, Havertz misses a header, Kimmich's shot is blocked.
4
Manuel Neuer41'–41'

Made a significant error leading to an opposition chance and failed to make a decisive save in the penalty shootout.

Match timeline

41'Germany's goalkeeper, Neuer, makes an error, leading to a chance for Paraguay.
3
Jonathan Tah110'–110'

Had a potential winning goal disallowed and then missed a decisive penalty in the shootout, directly contributing to Germany's elimination.

1shots

Match timeline

110'Tah scores for Germany with a header from a corner, but the goal is disallowed by the referee for a foul.
Paraguay
9
Gill59'–59'

A standout performer whose multiple crucial saves in regular and extra time, along with a penalty save in the shootout, were instrumental in Paraguay's victory.

1saves

Match timeline

59'Gill (Paraguay's goalkeeper) makes a great diving save from a Havertz header.
8
Galarza22'–22'

Scored the crucial opening goal for Paraguay from a set piece, giving his team an early lead.

1goals

Match timeline

22'Galarza scores for Paraguay with a header from a corner kick. Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay.
7
Canale

Converted the decisive penalty in the shootout, securing Paraguay's progression to the next round.

1goals

Match timeline

Match observations

  • This knockout stage encounter saw Paraguay secure a historic victory over Germany.
  • The match was a tightly contested affair, with both teams finding the net once in regular time.
  • Germany pressed hard in extra time, but Paraguay's goalkeeper was resolute, forcing the game into a penalty shootout.

Cómo leer esto. El Brier y el log-loss de un solo partido son ruidosos; lo que importa es cómo calibra el pronóstico a lo largo de muchos partidos. Este resumen por partido es una fila del marcador de calibración agregado en /docs/calibration/. La probabilidad previa al partido que se muestra aquí es la que se congeló antes del saque inicial; nunca se actualizó durante el juego.