Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

هدّافو البطولة · Norway

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

NorwayP(يسجل هدفاً واحداً على الأقل)

كل لاعب في مجموعة Norway الحالية، مرتّب حسب احتمالية النموذج لتسجيله هدفاً واحداً على الأقل عبر المباريات التي يخوضها Norway في كأس العالم 2026. انظر /scorers/ لأفضل 50 عالمياً و /countries/nor/ للتشكيلة المتوقعة والتشكيلة الأساسية المرجّحة.

44 لاعب في المجموعة

Rank1Erling HaalandPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)45.1%
Rank2Alexander SørlothPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)34.4%
Rank3Erling Braut HaalandPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)14.5%
Rank4Jørgen Strand LarsenPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)11.7%
Rank5Aune HeggebøPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.2%
Rank6Martin ØdegaardPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)3.6%
Rank7Fredrik AursnesPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%
Rank8Antonio NusaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank9Kristian ThorstvedtPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank10Aron DønnumPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank11Patrick BergPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank12Jens Petter HaugePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank13Oscar BobbPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank14Morten ThorsbyPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank15Andreas SchjelderupPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank16Felix Horn MyhrePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank17Thelo AasgaardPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank18Lasse Berg JohnsenPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank19Kristian ArnstadPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank20Sverre NypanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank21Kristoffer Vassbakk AjerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank22Leo ØstigårdPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank23Marcus Holmgren PedersenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank24Fredrik André BjørkanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank25Kristoffer AjerPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank26David Møller WolfePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank27Julian RyersonPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank28Andreas Hanche-OlsenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank29Torbjørn HeggemPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank30Leo Skiri ØstigårdPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank31Sander BergePosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank32Jostein GundersenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank33Sondre LangåsPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank34Colin RöslerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank35Henrik FalchenerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank36Odin BjørtuftPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank37Eivind HellandPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank38Sebastian SebulonsenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank39Tobias GuddalPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank40Egil SelvikPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank41Mathias DyngelandPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank42Ørjan NylandPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank43Sander TangvikPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank44Viljar MyhraPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

كيف يُحسَب هذا. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.