Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

هدّافو البطولة · England

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

EnglandP(يسجل هدفاً واحداً على الأقل)

كل لاعب في مجموعة England الحالية، مرتّب حسب احتمالية النموذج لتسجيله هدفاً واحداً على الأقل عبر المباريات التي يخوضها England في كأس العالم 2026. انظر /scorers/ لأفضل 50 عالمياً و /countries/eng/ للتشكيلة المتوقعة والتشكيلة الأساسية المرجّحة.

51 لاعب في المجموعة

Rank1Harry KanePosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)32.0%
Rank2Marcus RashfordPKPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)29.6%
Rank3Ollie WatkinsPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)19.4%
Rank4Bukayo SakaPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)18.5%
Rank5Phil FodenPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)15.5%
Rank6Jarrod BowenPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)13.2%
Rank7Ivan ToneyPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)13.2%
Rank8Anthony GordonPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)13.0%
Rank9Noni MaduekePosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)10.8%
Rank10Dominic Calvert-LewinPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)10.3%
Rank11Harvey BarnesPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)9.4%
Rank12Dominic SolankePosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)9.4%
Rank13Jude BellinghamPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)9.3%
Rank14Cole PalmerPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank15Eberechi EzePosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%
Rank16Morgan RogersPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank17Curtis JonesPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%
Rank18Declan RicePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.8%
Rank19Morgan Gibbs-WhitePosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.1%
Rank20Conor GallagherPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank21Kobbie MainooPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank22Alex ScottPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank23Elliot AndersonPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank24Jordan HendersonPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank25Adam WhartonPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank26Ruben Loftus-CheekPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank27Trent Alexander-ArnoldPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank28James GarnerPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank29Marc GuéhiPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank30Harry MaguirePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank31Reece JamesPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank32Trevoh ChalobahPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank33Dan BurnPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank34John StonesPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank35Levi ColwillPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank36Lewis HallPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank37Nico O'ReillyPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank38Ben WhitePosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank39Kyle WalkerPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank40Ezri KonsaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank41Jarell QuansahPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank42Tino LivramentoPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank43Djed SpencePosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank44Myles Lewis-SkellyPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank45Fikayo TomoriPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank46Aaron RamsdalePosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank47Dean HendersonPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank48James TraffordPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank49Jason SteelePosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank50Jordan PickfordPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank51Nick PopePosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

كيف يُحسَب هذا. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.