هدّافو البطولة · England

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

EnglandP(يسجل هدفاً واحداً على الأقل)

كل لاعب في مجموعة England الحالية، مرتّب حسب احتمالية النموذج لتسجيله هدفاً واحداً على الأقل عبر المباريات التي يخوضها England في كأس العالم 2026. انظر /scorers/ لأفضل 50 عالمياً و /countries/eng/ للتشكيلة المتوقعة والتشكيلة الأساسية المرجّحة.

51 لاعب في المجموعة

Rank1Harry KanePosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)35.9%
Rank2Marcus RashfordPKPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)34.0%
Rank3Ollie WatkinsPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)18.9%
Rank4Bukayo SakaPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)14.5%
Rank5Anthony GordonPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)13.9%
Rank6Phil FodenPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)13.9%
Rank7Ivan ToneyPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)13.0%
Rank8Dominic Calvert-LewinPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)10.3%
Rank9Jarrod BowenPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)9.9%
Rank10Harvey BarnesPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%
Rank11Jude BellinghamPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)8.1%
Rank12Dominic SolankePosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)7.8%
Rank13Noni MaduekePosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%
Rank14Cole PalmerPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.3%
Rank15Eberechi EzePosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.2%
Rank16Morgan Gibbs-WhitePosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.6%
Rank17Morgan RogersPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.2%
Rank18Ruben Loftus-CheekPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.5%
Rank19Declan RicePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.3%
Rank20Conor GallagherPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank21Curtis JonesPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank22Kobbie MainooPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank23Elliot AndersonPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank24Marc GuéhiPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank25Alex ScottPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank26James GarnerPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank27Adam WhartonPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank28Jarell QuansahPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank29Reece JamesPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank30Kyle WalkerPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank31Trent Alexander-ArnoldPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank32Jordan HendersonPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank33Harry MaguirePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank34John StonesPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank35Levi ColwillPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank36Djed SpencePosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank37Lewis HallPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank38Ben WhitePosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank39Nico O'ReillyPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank40Trevoh ChalobahPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank41Ezri KonsaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank42Dan BurnPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank43Tino LivramentoPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank44Myles Lewis-SkellyPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank45Fikayo TomoriPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank46Aaron RamsdalePosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank47Dean HendersonPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank48James TraffordPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank49Jason SteelePosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank50Jordan PickfordPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank51Nick PopePosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

كيف يُحسَب هذا. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.