Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Group K · Matchday 1
UzbekistanvsColombia
·20:00 local
Latest news & match context
Team news
No recent headlines for Uzbekistan or Colombia.
Match conditions
- Stage:
- Group K · Matchday 1
Colombia face a minor squad concern ahead of this fixture; unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.
Match-outcome probability
- Uzbekistan win12.4%
- Draw25.8%
- Colombia win61.8%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Uzbekistan #50 in the world; the model ranks them #31 in this tournament field, 19 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →
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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.
The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.
Scoreline distribution
Half-time / full-time
Four models compared
Most likely scorers
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See exactly how Uzbekistan v Colombia plays out
The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.
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