Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group C · Matchday 1

BrazilvsMorocco

·18:00 local

Snapshot · 2026-05-28تشكيلة Brazil →تشكيلة Morocco →متابعة مباشرة →المواجهات المباشرة →

تاريخ المواجهات المباشرة

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
25 Mar 2023FriendlyATangier1–2L—
16 Jun 1998FIFA World CupNNantes3–0W—
9 Oct 1997FriendlyHBelém2–0W—

Brazil vs Morocco, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Brazil's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news
Match conditions
Stage:
Group C · Matchday 1

Both teams have notable squad concerns ahead of this match; unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Brazil win
    50.1%
  • Draw
    30.2%
  • Morocco win
    19.7%
CalibrationBacktested to a 0.572 Brier score across 987 out-of-sample major-tournament matches (2014–2024): lower is better, and a no-skill 1-in-3 guess scores 0.667. In plain terms, outcomes the model rated 70% likely happened about 70% of the time. Live scoring begins 2026-06-11. See the scoreboard →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Brazil v Morocco plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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كيف يُحسَب هذا. جميع مخرجات عملية الأهداف تستند إلى نموذج Dixon-Coles واحد. انظر المنهجية.

بيانات بتاريخ 2026-05-28