Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Mexico vs South Korea

2026 FIFA 世界杯·A 组·历史交锋

Snapshot · 2026-05-28Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

43.9%
Draw
27.9%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

历史交锋总览

交锋场次
14
Mexico 胜-平-负
8-2-4
最近一次交锋
2025 : (22)
历史总进球
2815
Mexico 最大胜利
40 (2014)

数据以 Mexico 视角呈现的历史战绩。统计 martj42 数据集中所有成年国际队交锋(友谊赛和正式赛事); 点球大战结果用于决定淘汰赛平局。

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
9 Sep 2025FriendlyNNashville22D
14 Nov 2020FriendlyNWiener Neustadt32W
23 Jun 2018FIFA World CupNRostov-on-Don21W1.90.8
29 Jan 2014FriendlyNSan Antonio40W
15 Feb 2006FriendlyNLos Angeles01L
27 Jan 2002Gold CupNPasadena00(pens)L
1 Jun 2001Confederations CupAUlsan12L
12 Jun 1999Korea CupASeoul11D
13 Jun 1998FIFA World CupNLyon31W
10 Aug 1989Marlboro CupNLos Angeles42W
10 Dec 1985FriendlyHGuadalajara21W
3 Dec 1985FriendlyNLos Angeles21W
11 Feb 1981FriendlyHMexico City40W
26 Feb 1980FriendlyNLos Angeles01L

Mexico vs South Korea, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Mexico's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral; xG where the upstream dataset covers the match).

Recent form

MexicoWWWDD
  • 2026-06-04 · Serbia51
  • 2026-05-30 · Australia10
  • 2026-05-22 · Ghana20
  • 2026-03-31 · Belgium11
  • 2026-03-28 · Portugal00
South KoreaWWLLW
  • 2026-06-03 · El Salvador10
  • 2026-05-30 · Trinidad and Tobago50
  • 2026-03-31 · Austria01
  • 2026-03-28 · Ivory Coast04
  • 2025-11-18 · Ghana10

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

MexicoSouth Korea
#6 of 16Average match rating#2 of 18
#12 of 14Goals scored / match#2 of 18
#7 of 16Big chances#4 of 27
#1 of 16Shots on target#3 of 18
#1 of 16Possession#1 of 18
#3 of 16Passing#2 of 18
#2 of 16Goals conceded / match#3 of 18

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — Mexico: Copa America 2024; South Korea: World Cup Qualification AFC 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

常见问题

What is the head-to-head record between Mexico and South Korea?
Mexico and South Korea have met 14 times. From Mexico's perspective the all-time record is 8 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2025 draw (2–2) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for Mexico vs South Korea?
OnThePitch's model rates Mexico at 44% to win, with a 28% chance of a draw and 28% for South Korea.
When do Mexico and South Korea play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group A. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

A 组其他对阵

计算方法。 胜/平/胜概率来自经过校准的 Dixon-Coles 集成模型。详见 方法论.