What is the head-to-head record between Mexico and South Africa?

Mexico and South Africa have met 4 times. From Mexico's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2010 draw (1–1) at the FIFA World Cup.

What does the model predict for Mexico vs South Africa?

OnThePitch's model makes Mexico the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.

When do Mexico and South Africa play at the 2026 World Cup?

They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group A. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Mexico vs South Africa

2026 FIFA 世界杯·A 组·历史交锋

Snapshot · 2026-05-28Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Standard Pass for probabilities

The model publishes calibrated win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

CalibrationBacktested to a 0.572 Brier score across 987 out-of-sample major-tournament matches (2014–2024): lower is better, and a no-skill 1-in-3 guess scores 0.667. In plain terms, outcomes the model rated 70% likely happened about 70% of the time. Live scoring begins 2026-06-11. See the scoreboard →

历史交锋总览

交锋场次: 4
Mexico 胜-平-负: 2-1-1
最近一次交锋: 2010 : 平 (1–1)

历史总进球: 10–5
Mexico 最大胜利: 4–0 (1993)

数据以 Mexico 视角呈现的历史战绩。统计 martj42 数据集中所有成年国际队交锋（友谊赛和正式赛事）; 点球大战结果用于决定淘汰赛平局。

Every meeting

Date	Competition	Venue	Score	Result	xG
11 Jun 2010	FIFA World Cup	AJohannesburg	1–1	D	—
8 Jul 2005	Gold Cup	NCarson	1–2	L	—
7 Jun 2000	USA Cup	NDallas	4–2	W	—
6 Oct 1993	Friendly	NLos Angeles	4–0	W	—

Mexico vs South Africa, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Mexico's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

MexicoWWWDD

2026-06-04 · Serbia5–1
2026-05-30 · Australia1–0
2026-05-22 · Ghana2–0
2026-03-31 · Belgium1–1
2026-03-28 · Portugal0–0

South AfricaWDLDL

2026-06-06 · Jamaica1–0
2026-05-29 · Nicaragua0–0
2026-03-31 · Panama1–2
2026-03-27 · Panama1–1
2026-01-04 · Cameroon1–2

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

MexicoSouth Africa

#12 of 14Goals scored / match#18 of 52

#7 of 16Big chances#1 of 34

#1 of 16Shots on target#2 of 52

#1 of 16Possession#6 of 51

#3 of 16Passing#2 of 51

#2 of 16Goals conceded / match#5 of 51

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — Mexico: Copa America 2024; South Africa: World Cup Qualification CAF 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

常见问题

What is the head-to-head record between Mexico and South Africa?: Mexico and South Africa have met 4 times. From Mexico's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2010 draw (1–1) at the FIFA World Cup.
What does the model predict for Mexico vs South Africa?: OnThePitch's model makes Mexico the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.
When do Mexico and South Africa play at the 2026 World Cup?: They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group A. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.