Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group H · Matchday 1

Saudi ArabiavsUruguay

·18:00 local

历史交锋记录

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
20 Jun 2018FIFA World CupNRostov-on-Don01L0.31.8
10 Oct 2014FriendlyHJeddah11D
27 Mar 2002FriendlyHDammam32W

Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Saudi Arabia's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral; xG where the upstream dataset covers the match).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Saudi Arabia or Uruguay.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group H · Matchday 1

One side faces multiple significant doubts across key positions, while the other is at full strength. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Saudi Arabia win
    9.1%
  • Draw
    25.5%
  • Uruguay win
    65.5%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Saudi Arabia #60 in the world; the model ranks them #34 in this tournament field, 26 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Saudi Arabia v Uruguay plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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计算方法。 所有进球过程输出共用同一个 Dixon-Coles 拟合模型。详见 方法论.

数据截至 2026-05-28