Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group D · Matchday 2

United StatesvsAustralia

·12:00 local

Karşılıklı geçmiş

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
14 Oct 2025FriendlyHDenver21W
5 Jun 2010FriendlyNRoodepoort31W
6 Nov 1998FriendlyHSan Jose00D
13 Jun 1992FriendlyHOrlando01L

United States vs Australia, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from United States's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for United States or Australia.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group D · Matchday 2

One side faces a significant fitness concern ahead of this match. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • United States win
    30.9%
  • Draw
    28.1%
  • Australia win
    41.0%
Rank checkFIFA ranks United States #14 in the world; the model ranks them #29 in this tournament field, 15 places lower than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

Standard Pass

That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

Standard Pass

See exactly how United States v Australia plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

Get the Pass — $15

24h self-service refund·No subscription, no auto-renewal·Access through 31 Dec 2026. See refund policy.

Bu nasıl hesaplanır. Tüm gol süreci çıktıları tek bir Dixon-Coles uyumundan gelir. Bkz. yöntem.

Anlık görüntü: 2026-05-28