Tahmin ve sonuç · Group C · Matchday 1
Haiti - Scotland
2026-06-13
Post-match calibration
Pre-match probability vs realised outcome
- Haiti win16.4%
- Draw22.4%
- Scotland win· realised61.1%
Brier and log-loss on a single fixture are noisy; the calibration plot in the post-tournament research note aggregates these across every match.
Key moments
J. McGinn (Scotland)
Match statistics
Scoreline prediction
The actual scoreline (0–1) was the model's #2 most likely outcome at 11.1%.
Team performance
Haiti showed attacking intent and created opportunities but lacked clinical finishing, suggesting a need for improvement in the final third.
The team secured a hard-fought away win, demonstrating resilience and clinical moments when it mattered.
Video analysis: player performance
Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.
8Johny Placide1'–28'Made several crucial saves throughout the match, keeping Haiti in contention.
3saves▼
Made several crucial saves throughout the match, keeping Haiti in contention.
Match timeline
6Louicius Deedson16'–22'Was involved in several attacking moves for Haiti but also received a yellow card for a foul.
1fouls1 yellow▼
Was involved in several attacking moves for Haiti but also received a yellow card for a foul.
Match timeline
6Wilson Isidor5'–16'Had a shot blocked and a header wide but did not make a significant impact before being substituted.
3shots1headers▼
Had a shot blocked and a header wide but did not make a significant impact before being substituted.
Match timeline
6Jean-Ricner BellegardeHad a shot wide and another blocked, and committed a foul, but otherwise had an average performance.
Had a shot wide and another blocked, and committed a foul, but otherwise had an average performance.
6Josué CasimirCame on as a substitute and had a shot wide, but did not have enough time to make a significant impact.
Came on as a substitute and had a shot wide, but did not have enough time to make a significant impact.
6Lenny JosephCame on as a substitute but had no notable contributions in the limited time played.
Came on as a substitute but had no notable contributions in the limited time played.
6Frantzdy PierrotHad a significant header attempt that went wide, showing an aerial threat.
Had a significant header attempt that went wide, showing an aerial threat.
5Ruben ProvidenceCommitted a foul and provided a cross that went wide, but had limited overall impact.
Committed a foul and provided a cross that went wide, but had limited overall impact.
5Martin ExpérienceReceived a yellow card for a foul and had no other notable contributions.
Received a yellow card for a foul and had no other notable contributions.
4Danley Jean Jacques12'–12'Received an early yellow card and committed multiple fouls, negatively impacting his team's discipline.
1fouls1 yellow▼
Received an early yellow card and committed multiple fouls, negatively impacting his team's discipline.
Match timeline
8John McGinn4'–27'Scored Scotland's opening and only goal, demonstrating good attacking presence and finishing.
1goals1shots▼
Scored Scotland's opening and only goal, demonstrating good attacking presence and finishing.
Match timeline
7Scott McTominay6'–17'Came very close to scoring with a shot that hit the post and showed attacking intent, despite receiving a yellow card.
2shots1headers▼
Came very close to scoring with a shot that hit the post and showed attacking intent, despite receiving a yellow card.
Match timeline
6Ché Adams12'–12'Was fouled twice by opponents, drawing yellow cards, but had no other notable contributions.
1fouls won▼
Was fouled twice by opponents, drawing yellow cards, but had no other notable contributions.
Match timeline
6Jack Hendry14'–14'Made a key block to deny an opponent's shot, contributing to the team's defense.
1blocks▼
Made a key block to deny an opponent's shot, contributing to the team's defense.
Match timeline
6Angus Gunn21'–22'Made two saves from crosses, performing his duties adequately.
2saves▼
Made two saves from crosses, performing his duties adequately.
Match timeline
6Lawrence ShanklandHad a header attempt that went wide but otherwise had an average performance.
Had a header attempt that went wide but otherwise had an average performance.
6Ryan ChristieCame on as a substitute but had no notable contributions in the limited time played.
Came on as a substitute but had no notable contributions in the limited time played.
5Aaron HickeyMade a defensive clearance but received a yellow card for a foul.
Made a defensive clearance but received a yellow card for a foul.
Match observations
- The match began with both teams displaying cautious approaches, gradually building into more attacking passages.
- Scotland found their rhythm first, creating several opportunities before John McGinn broke the deadlock.
- Haiti responded with periods of sustained pressure, testing the Scottish defence and goalkeeper.