Round of 16 · Match 7
Live score, descriptive in-match stats, and a post-match calibration recap appear here once the match kicks off.
Match-outcome probability
Standard Pass for probabilitiesLatest news & match context
- FIFA World Cup: Refereeing chief denies bias claims in Argentina-Egypt game · Al Jazeera · 9 Jul
- Stage:
- Round of 16 · Match 7
- Date:
- 7 Jul
- Venue:
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Ranked by likely importance. None of these feed the forecast: the probabilities rest on team strength, venue conditions and the style matchup.
- 1.Elimination stakes: A one-off elimination tie. Motivation, risk appetite and game management under tournament pressure are not model inputs; the forecast rests on team strength and the style matchup.
Both squads look close to full strength going into this match.
Kalibratieterugblik na afloop is gratis. Wanneer deze wedstrijd afgelopen is, verschijnt de terugblik voorspelling versus resultaat (voorafwaarschijnlijkheid versus werkelijke uitkomst, Brier score, log loss en uiteindelijk xG versus voorspeld) op de terugblikpagina, toegankelijk voor iedereen.
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The model's full forecast for this match
Match-outcome probabilities, the most likely scorelines, scorer probabilities, and the in-match paths. The Standard Pass unlocks them for this match and all 104.
Scoreline distribution
Half-time / full-time
Four models compared
Most likely scorers
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See exactly how Argentina v Egypt plays out
The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.
Every forecast graded against the real result, scored on 987 matches since 2014. See the scorecard.
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