予測 vs 結果 · Group E · Matchday 3
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
2026-06-25
Post-match calibration
Pre-match probability vs realised outcome
- Curaçao win14.5%
- Draw25.1%
- Ivory Coast win· realised60.4%
Brier and log-loss on a single fixture are noisy; the calibration plot in the post-tournament research note aggregates these across every match.
Key moments
Nicolas Pépé (Ivory Coast)
Yan Diomande
Nicolas Pépé (Ivory Coast)
Ibrahim Sangaré
Match statistics
Scoreline prediction
The actual scoreline (0–2) was the model's #1 most likely outcome at 16.6%.
Team performance
Curaçao's current form appears concerning, as they failed to convert opportunities and ultimately lost the match 0-2.
Ivory Coast secured a vital 2-0 victory, demonstrating resilience under pressure and progressing to the knockout stages.
Video analysis: player performance
Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.
6Leandro BacunaContributed to the attack with a shot on goal, but had limited overall decisive impact.
1shots▼
Contributed to the attack with a shot on goal, but had limited overall decisive impact.
Match timeline
5Tahith ChongShowed attacking intent with multiple shots but was unable to convert his opportunities.
2shots▼
Showed attacking intent with multiple shots but was unable to convert his opportunities.
Match timeline
9Nicolas PepeScored both goals for Ivory Coast, demonstrating clinical finishing and a strong attacking presence.
Scored both goals for Ivory Coast, demonstrating clinical finishing and a strong attacking presence.
8Yahia Fofana1'–1'Made crucial saves to maintain a clean sheet and secure the win for Ivory Coast.
4saves▼
Made crucial saves to maintain a clean sheet and secure the win for Ivory Coast.
Match timeline
8Amad Diallo1'–1'Scored a crucial goal shortly after coming on as a substitute, proving to be the match-winner.
2goals▼
Scored a crucial goal shortly after coming on as a substitute, proving to be the match-winner.
Match timeline
7KonanDemonstrated excellent dribbling to create a notable attacking opportunity for Curaçao.
▼
Demonstrated excellent dribbling to create a notable attacking opportunity for Curaçao.
Match timeline
7PlataWas a constant attacking threat, hitting the woodwork and testing the opposition goalkeeper.
Was a constant attacking threat, hitting the woodwork and testing the opposition goalkeeper.
Match observations
- Ivory Coast secured a comfortable 2-0 victory over Curacao in a match played in Philadelphia.
- Curacao created several opportunities but struggled with their finishing, failing to trouble the scoreline.
- The atmosphere was vibrant, with both sets of supporters cheering on their teams.