Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group F · Matchday 2

NetherlandsvsSweden

·12:00 local

Storico testa a testa

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
10 Oct 2017FIFA World Cup qualificationHAmsterdam20W
6 Sep 2016FIFA World Cup qualificationASolna11D
11 Oct 2011UEFA Euro qualificationASolna23L
12 Oct 2010UEFA Euro qualificationHAmsterdam41W
19 Nov 2008FriendlyHAmsterdam31W
18 Aug 2004FriendlyASolna22D

Netherlands vs Sweden, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Netherlands's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral). See all 25 meetings →

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Netherlands or Sweden.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group F · Matchday 2

One side faces a significant potential absence, while the other has a minor doubt; unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Netherlands win
    58.9%
  • Draw
    23.6%
  • Sweden win
    17.5%

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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Come viene calcolato. Tutti gli output sul processo gol condividono un unico fit Dixon-Coles. Vedi metodologia.

Dati al 2026-05-28