هدّافو البطولة · New Zealand

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

New ZealandP(يسجل هدفاً واحداً على الأقل)

كل لاعب في مجموعة New Zealand الحالية، مرتّب حسب احتمالية النموذج لتسجيله هدفاً واحداً على الأقل عبر المباريات التي يخوضها New Zealand في كأس العالم 2026. انظر /scorers/ لأفضل 50 عالمياً و /countries/nzl/ للتشكيلة المتوقعة والتشكيلة الأساسية المرجّحة.

40 لاعب في المجموعة

Rank1Chris WoodPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)37.3%
Rank2Ben WainePosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)13.1%
Rank3Kosta BarbarousesPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)13.1%
Rank4Logan RogersonPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)11.1%
Rank5Andre de JongPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)9.1%
Rank6Jesse RandallPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.5%
Rank7Ben OldPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank8Luke Brooke-SmithPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.1%
Rank9Alex RuferPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank10Elijah JustPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank11Marko StamenićPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank12Matthew GarbettPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank13Ryan ThomasPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank14Sarpreet SinghPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank15Callum McCowattPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank16Liberato CacacePosDFFormRisingTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank17Joe BellPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank18Owen Parker-PricePosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank19Lachlan BaylissPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank20Bill TuilomaPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank21Nando PijnakerPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank22Tommy SmithPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank23Tyler BindonPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank24Francis de VriesPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank25Finn SurmanPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank26Michael BoxallPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank27Tim PaynePosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank28Storm RouxPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank29Callan ElliotPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank30James McGarryPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank31Lukas Kelly-HealdPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank32Dalton WilkinsPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank33George StangerPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank34Alex PaulsenPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank35Henry GrayPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank36Kees SimsPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Max CrocombePosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank38Michael WoudPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank39Nik TzanevPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank40Oliver SailPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

كيف يُحسَب هذا. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.