Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

هدّافو البطولة · Colombia

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

ColombiaP(يسجل هدفاً واحداً على الأقل)

كل لاعب في مجموعة Colombia الحالية، مرتّب حسب احتمالية النموذج لتسجيله هدفاً واحداً على الأقل عبر المباريات التي يخوضها Colombia في كأس العالم 2026. انظر /scorers/ لأفضل 50 عالمياً و /countries/col/ للتشكيلة المتوقعة والتشكيلة الأساسية المرجّحة.

59 لاعب في المجموعة

Rank1James RodríguezPKPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)37.4%
Rank2Luis DíazPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)24.7%
Rank3Jhon CórdobaPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)17.0%
Rank4Rafael Santos BorréPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)10.4%
Rank5Luis SuárezPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)10.2%
Rank6Jhon DuránPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%
Rank7Andrés GómezPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)8.2%
Rank8Sebastián VillaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%
Rank9Cucho HernándezPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)6.3%
Rank10Johan CarboneroPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank11Juan CuadradoPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%
Rank12Stiven MendozaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.6%
Rank13Dayro MorenoPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank14Edwuin CetréPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank15Kevin ViverosPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank16Néiser VillarrealPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank17Wilmar BarriosPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)3.2%
Rank18Richard RíosPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.7%
Rank19Jhon AriasPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank20Kevin CastañoPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank21Juan Fernando QuinteroPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank22Jefferson LermaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank23Jorge CarrascalPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank24Daniel MuñozPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank25Juan PortillaPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank26Yáser AsprillaPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank27Jaminton CampazPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank28Gustavo PuertaPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank29Sebastián GómezPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank30Kevin SernaPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank31Marino HinestrozaPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank32Rafael CarrascalPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank33Davinson SánchezPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank34Jhon SolísPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank35Johan RojasPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank36Jordan BarreraPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank37Juan Manuel Rengifo [ es ]PosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank38Nelson DeossaPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank39Yerry MinaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank40Deiver MachadoPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank41Carlos CuestaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank42Johan MojicaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank43Jhon LucumíPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank44Santiago AriasPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank45Álvaro AnguloPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank46Juan CabalPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank47Andrés RománPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank48Willer DittaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank49Yerson MosqueraPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank50Cristian BorjaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank51Édier OcampoPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank52Jhohan RomañaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank53Junior Hernández [ es ]PosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank54Aldair QuintanaPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank55Álvaro MonteroPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank56Andrés MosqueraPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank57Camilo VargasPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank58David OspinaPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank59Kevin MierPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

كيف يُحسَب هذا. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.