Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

هدّافو البطولة · Argentina

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

ArgentinaP(يسجل هدفاً واحداً على الأقل)

كل لاعب في مجموعة Argentina الحالية، مرتّب حسب احتمالية النموذج لتسجيله هدفاً واحداً على الأقل عبر المباريات التي يخوضها Argentina في كأس العالم 2026. انظر /scorers/ لأفضل 50 عالمياً و /countries/arg/ للتشكيلة المتوقعة والتشكيلة الأساسية المرجّحة.

65 لاعب في المجموعة

Rank1Lionel MessiPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)46.9%
Rank2Lautaro MartínezPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)23.3%
Rank3Julián AlvarezPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)19.1%
Rank4Nicolás GonzálezPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)17.0%
Rank5Ángel CorreaPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)15.4%
Rank6Alejandro GarnachoPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)10.6%
Rank7José Manuel LópezPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)7.6%
Rank8Franco MastantuonoPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)7.5%
Rank9Gianluca PrestianniPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.4%
Rank10Claudio EcheverriPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%
Rank11Joaquín PanichelliPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%
Rank12Mateo PellegrinoPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%
Rank13Matías SouléPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%
Rank14Santiago CastroPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%
Rank15Tomás ArandaPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%
Rank16Giuliano SimeonePosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.9%
Rank17Enzo FernándezPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank18Giovani Lo CelsoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.1%
Rank19Valentín CarboniPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%
Rank20Alexis Mac AllisterPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)3.3%
Rank21Emiliano BuendíaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank22Leandro ParedesPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%
Rank23Rodrigo De PaulPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank24Nicolás DomínguezPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank25Exequiel PalaciosPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank26Thiago AlmadaPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank27Nicolás TagliaficoPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank28Nico PazPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank29Máximo PerronePosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank30Nicolás OtamendiPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank31Aníbal MorenoPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank32Alan VarelaPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank33Enzo BarrenecheaPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank34Equi FernándezPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank35Milton DelgadoPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank36Lisandro MartínezPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank37Nahuel MolinaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank38Lucas Martínez QuartaPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank39Guido RodríguezPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank40Juan FoythPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank41Cristian RomeroPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank42Facundo MedinaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank43Leonardo BalerdiPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank44Germán PezzellaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank45Marcos AcuñaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank46Valentín BarcoPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank47Gonzalo MontielPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank48Lautaro RiveroPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank49Agustín GiayPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank50Kevin Mac AllisterPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank51Gabriel RojasPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank52Julio SolerPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank53Kevin LomónacoPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank54Lautaro Di LolloPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank55Mariano TroiloPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank56Nicolás CapaldoPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank57Tomás PalaciosPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank58Zaid RomeroPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank59Marcos SenesiPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank60Emiliano MartínezPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank61Facundo CambesesPosGKFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank62Gerónimo RulliPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank63Juan MussoPosGKFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank64Santiago BeltránPosGKFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank65Walter BenítezPosGKFormTeam outlookFinal5.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

كيف يُحسَب هذا. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.