Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Japan vs Sweden

2026 FIFA 世界杯·F 组·历史交锋

Snapshot · 2026-05-28Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Standard Pass for probabilities

The model publishes calibrated win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

历史交锋总览

交锋场次
4
Japan 胜-平-负
0-2-2
最近一次交锋
2002 : (11)
历史总进球
45
Japan 最大胜利

数据以 Japan 视角呈现的历史战绩。统计 martj42 数据集中所有成年国际队交锋(友谊赛和正式赛事); 点球大战结果用于决定淘汰赛平局。

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
25 May 2002FriendlyHTokyo11D
13 Feb 1997King's CupNBangkok01L
22 Feb 1996Lunar New Year CupNSo Kon Po11(pens)L
10 Jun 1995FriendlyNNottingham22D

Japan vs Sweden, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Japan's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

JapanWWWWW
  • 2026-05-31 · Iceland10
  • 2026-03-31 · England10
  • 2026-03-28 · Scotland10
  • 2025-11-18 · Bolivia30
  • 2025-11-14 · Ghana20
SwedenDLWWD
  • 2026-06-04 · Greece22
  • 2026-06-01 · Norway13
  • 2026-03-31 · Poland32
  • 2026-03-26 · Ukraine31
  • 2025-11-18 · Slovenia11

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

JapanSweden
#1 of 18Average match rating#33 of 54
#1 of 18Goals scored / match#30 of 53
#1 of 27Big chances#35 of 54
#1 of 18Shots on target#37 of 54
#2 of 18Possession#27 of 54
#1 of 18Passing#22 of 54
#1 of 18Goals conceded / match#35 of 54

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — Japan: World Cup Qualification AFC 2023/2025; Sweden: World Cup Qualification UEFA 2025/2026. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

常见问题

What is the head-to-head record between Japan and Sweden?
Japan and Sweden have met 4 times. From Japan's perspective the all-time record is 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2002 draw (1–1) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for Japan vs Sweden?
OnThePitch's model makes Japan the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.
When do Japan and Sweden play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group F. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

F 组其他对阵

计算方法。 胜/平/胜概率来自经过校准的 Dixon-Coles 集成模型。详见 方法论.