Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Germany vs Ecuador

2026 FIFA 世界杯·E 组·历史交锋

Snapshot · 2026-05-28Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Standard Pass for probabilities

The model publishes calibrated win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

历史交锋总览

交锋场次
2
Germany 胜-平-负
2-0-0
最近一次交锋
2013 : (42)
历史总进球
72
Germany 最大胜利
30 (2006)

数据以 Germany 视角呈现的历史战绩。统计 martj42 数据集中所有成年国际队交锋(友谊赛和正式赛事); 点球大战结果用于决定淘汰赛平局。

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
29 May 2013FriendlyNBoca Raton42W
20 Jun 2006FIFA World CupHBerlin30W

Germany vs Ecuador, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Germany's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

GermanyWWWWW
  • 2026-06-06 · United States21
  • 2026-05-31 · Finland40
  • 2026-03-30 · Ghana21
  • 2026-03-27 · Switzerland43
  • 2025-11-17 · Slovakia60
EcuadorWWDDW
  • 2026-06-07 · Guatemala30
  • 2026-05-30 · Saudi Arabia21
  • 2026-03-31 · Netherlands11
  • 2026-03-27 · Morocco11
  • 2025-11-18 · New Zealand20

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

GermanyEcuador
#9 of 54Average match rating#4 of 10
#10 of 53Goals scored / match#7 of 10
#18 of 54Expected goals#6 of 10
#18 of 54Big chances#4 of 10
#14 of 54Shots on target#5 of 10
#2 of 54Possession#5 of 10
#4 of 54Passing#4 of 10
#4 of 54Goals conceded / match#1 of 10

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — Germany: World Cup Qualification UEFA 2025/2026; Ecuador: World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

常见问题

What is the head-to-head record between Germany and Ecuador?
Germany and Ecuador have met 2 times. From Germany's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2013 win (4–2) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for Germany vs Ecuador?
OnThePitch's model makes Germany the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.
When do Germany and Ecuador play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group E. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

E 组其他对阵

计算方法。 胜/平/胜概率来自经过校准的 Dixon-Coles 集成模型。详见 方法论.