预测与结果对照 · Round of 32 · Match 3

Netherlands vs Morocco

2026-06-30

回顾将在全场结束后发布。 比赛结束后, 本页将展示下方锁定的赛前预测与实际结果的对比: Brier score、log loss, 以及最终 xG 与预测 xG。在此之前, 可在以下页面实时关注 实时追踪.

Pre-match forecast

Netherlands win
43.5%
Draw
29.2%
Morocco win
27.3%
Netherlands
0.98
expected
goals
Morocco
0.88

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Netherlands
5
El Idrissi

Missed a penalty during the shootout for the Netherlands.

Morocco
8
Issa

Delivered a powerful header to secure Morocco's equalizing goal.

8
Saibari

Showed attacking prowess with a significant shot and converted the decisive penalty in the shootout.

1goals1shots1on target

Match timeline

5
Achraf Hakimi

Missed a penalty during the shootout, which could have secured an earlier victory for his team.

1shots

Match timeline

Match observations

  • The match was a tightly contested affair, with both teams finding a goal in regular time.
  • Netherlands initially took the lead, but Morocco responded with an equalizer, pushing the match into extra time.
  • Extra time saw a significant save from the Moroccan goalkeeper, preventing a late winner.

如何阅读本页。 单场比赛的 Brier 和 log-loss 波动较大, 重要的是预测在多场比赛中的整体校准表现。本页是汇总校准计分板中的一行, 位于 /docs/calibration/. 此处显示的赛前概率是开球前锁定的, 比赛期间从未更新。