预测与结果对照 · Group J · Matchday 2

Algeria vs Jordan

2026-06-22

回顾将在全场结束后发布。 比赛结束后, 本页将展示下方锁定的赛前预测与实际结果的对比: Brier score、log loss, 以及最终 xG 与预测 xG。在此之前, 可在以下页面实时关注 实时追踪.

Pre-match forecast

Algeria win
69.3%
Draw
21.5%
Jordan win
9.3%
Algeria
1.98
expected
goals
Jordan
0.76

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Algeria
9
Zidane12'–610'

His exceptional goalkeeping performance was crucial in keeping Algeria in the match despite facing numerous shots.

10saves

Match timeline

12'Netherlands attack, shot from outside the box saved by the Algerian goalkeeper.
24'Netherlands' Gravenberch dribbles into the box and shoots, but the Algerian goalkeeper makes a stop.
59'Netherlands' Sommerville's shot from close range is denied by the Algerian goalkeeper.
113'Netherlands' Malen's shot from inside the box is stopped by the Algerian goalkeeper.
129'Netherlands' Gakpo's powerful shot from inside the area is parried away by the Algerian goalkeeper.
145'Netherlands' Reijnders' shot from outside the box is saved by the Algerian goalkeeper.
424'Netherlands' Malen's shot from inside the box is saved by the Algerian goalkeeper.
455'Netherlands' Reijnders' shot from inside the box is saved by the Algerian goalkeeper.
546'Netherlands' Kluivert's shot from outside the box is saved by the Algerian goalkeeper, and the subsequent rebound shot by Gakpo goes wide.
610'Netherlands' Gakpo's shot from inside the box is saved by the Algerian goalkeeper.
8
Benrahma617'–617'

Scored the decisive winning goal with a moment of individual brilliance.

1goals

Match timeline

617'Algeria's Benrahma scores with a powerful left-footed strike from inside the box.
8
Algeria #12

Scored a crucial equalizer for Algeria, showcasing excellent aerial ability.

7
Chaibi

Showed attacking intent and came very close to scoring, demonstrating his threat in the final third.

6
Moura212'–212'

Had a scoring opportunity from a corner but failed to convert.

1headers

Match timeline

212'Algeria's Moura heads wide from a corner kick.
6
Algeria #7

Was a prominent figure for Algeria throughout the match, indicating involvement but without specific impactful actions.

Jordan
8
Jordan #21

Scored the crucial opening goal for Jordan, giving his team an early lead.

6
Reijnders

Scored a disallowed goal and contributed to attacks with shots, but couldn't make a legal impact on the scoreboard.

6
Kluivert

Produced a powerful shot that tested the goalkeeper, demonstrating his offensive capabilities.

6
Jordan #10

Was an attacking presence for Jordan, actively seeking opportunities throughout the match.

5
Sommerville

Showed good attacking intent and got into scoring positions but lacked the clinical finish required.

5
Gakpo

Generated numerous shots and was involved in a disallowed goal, but ultimately failed to convert his chances.

4
Malen

Missed multiple clear-cut opportunities from inside the box, failing to convert despite good positioning.

Match observations

  • The match was a tightly contested affair with both teams creating numerous scoring opportunities.
  • The Netherlands dominated possession and generated a high volume of shots, but struggled with their finishing and were repeatedly denied by an outstanding goalkeeping performance from Algeria.
  • Algeria, despite fewer chances, remained dangerous on the counter-attack and ultimately secured a victory with a moment of individual brilliance.

如何阅读本页。 单场比赛的 Brier 和 log-loss 波动较大, 重要的是预测在多场比赛中的整体校准表现。本页是汇总校准计分板中的一行, 位于 /docs/calibration/. 此处显示的赛前概率是开球前锁定的, 比赛期间从未更新。