Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group J · Matchday 1

AustriavsJordan

·21:00 local

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Austria or Jordan.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group J · Matchday 1

Jordan's squad faces some key availability concerns, while Austria appears to be at full strength, with the full breakdown available with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Austria win
    54.7%
  • Draw
    24.7%
  • Jordan win
    20.6%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Jordan #66 in the world; the model ranks them #42 in this tournament field, 24 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

Standard Pass

That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

Standard Pass

See exactly how Austria v Jordan plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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计算方法。 所有进球过程输出共用同一个 Dixon-Coles 拟合模型。详见 方法论.

数据截至 2026-05-28