预测与结果对照 · Round of 32 · Match 5

France vs Sweden

2026-06-30

回顾将在全场结束后发布。 比赛结束后, 本页将展示下方锁定的赛前预测与实际结果的对比: Brier score、log loss, 以及最终 xG 与预测 xG。在此之前, 可在以下页面实时关注 实时追踪.

Pre-match forecast

France win
68.7%
Draw
21.9%
Sweden win
9.4%
France
1.97
expected
goals
Sweden
0.82

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

France
10
Kylian Mbappé4'–151'

Mbappé delivered an exceptional performance, scoring four goals and providing an assist, showcasing clinical finishing and constant threat.

4goals1shots1on target

Match timeline

4'Kylian Mbappé scores for France, but the goal is disallowed for offside.
17'Sweden's goalkeeper saves a shot from Kylian Mbappé inside the box.
44'Kylian Mbappé scores the opening goal for France from close range.
53'Kylian Mbappé celebrates his goal with the coach.
116'Kylian Mbappé scores his second goal of the match, assisted by Michael Olise.
151'Kylian Mbappé is substituted off for France.
9
Michael Olise38'–140'

Olise was instrumental in France's attack, scoring a goal, providing an assist, and consistently creating danger with his exceptional dribbling.

1goals3shots3on target

Match timeline

38'Sweden's goalkeeper saves a shot from Michael Olise after a skillful dribble.
104'Michael Olise scores France's second goal with a powerful finish.
113'Sweden's goalkeeper makes another save from a shot by Michael Olise.
116'assisted by Michael Olise.
140'Sweden's goalkeeper saves a shot from Michael Olise after an impressive dribbling run.
7
Adrien Rabiot13'–13'

Rabiot contributed to the attack with a shot on target and a key assist, while also applying midfield pressure.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

13'Sweden's goalkeeper makes a save from a shot by Adrien Rabiot following a corner.
6
Jules Kounde

Kounde made an notable attacking contribution by hitting the post, with no defensive issues reported.

6
Ousmane Dembélé29'–29'

Dembélé showcased his attacking flair with an ambitious overhead kick, though it didn't result in a goal.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

29'Sweden's goalkeeper saves an acrobatic overhead kick from Ousmane Dembélé.
Sweden
8
Sweden Goalkeeper13'–140'

The Sweden goalkeeper made numerous crucial saves, single-handedly preventing a much larger deficit for his team.

6saves

Match timeline

13'Sweden's goalkeeper makes a save from a shot by Adrien Rabiot following a corner.
17'Sweden's goalkeeper saves a shot from Kylian Mbappé inside the box.
29'Sweden's goalkeeper saves an acrobatic overhead kick from Ousmane Dembélé.
38'Sweden's goalkeeper saves a shot from Michael Olise after a skillful dribble.
113'Sweden's goalkeeper makes another save from a shot by Michael Olise.
140'Sweden's goalkeeper saves a shot from Michael Olise after an impressive dribbling run.
4
Lagerbielke

Lagerbielke struggled defensively against France's potent attack and was prone to losing possession in dangerous areas.

Match timeline

Match observations

  • France delivered a dominant attacking performance, creating numerous high-quality scoring opportunities against Sweden.
  • The match was characterized by France's fluid offensive movements and individual brilliance from their star attackers.
  • Sweden's defence struggled to contain the French onslaught, relying heavily on their goalkeeper to prevent a larger deficit.

如何阅读本页。 单场比赛的 Brier 和 log-loss 波动较大, 重要的是预测在多场比赛中的整体校准表现。本页是汇总校准计分板中的一行, 位于 /docs/calibration/. 此处显示的赛前概率是开球前锁定的, 比赛期间从未更新。