预测与结果对照 · Group B · Matchday 3

Canada vs Switzerland

2026-06-24

回顾将在全场结束后发布。 比赛结束后, 本页将展示下方锁定的赛前预测与实际结果的对比: Brier score、log loss, 以及最终 xG 与预测 xG。在此之前, 可在以下页面实时关注 实时追踪.

Pre-match forecast

Canada win
16.3%
Draw
25.5%
Switzerland win
58.3%
Canada
0.87
expected
goals
Switzerland
1.44

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Canada
8
Saliba127'–127'

Scored Canada's only goal, reducing the deficit with a powerful shot.

1goals

Match timeline

127'Saliba scores for Canada, reducing the deficit to 2-1.
7
Borjan8'–8'

Made a crucial early save to keep his team in the game.

1saves

Match timeline

8'Canadian goalkeeper Borjan makes a save from Embolo's shot.
7
Stephen Eustáquio

Delivered a dangerous free-kick that almost led to a goal.

6
Jonathan David23'–116'

Was involved in Canadian attacking moves and had shots blocked by the defense.

2shots

Match timeline

23'David's shot for Canada is blocked by a Swiss defender.
116'David's shot for Canada is blocked by a Swiss defender.
6
Fares

Tested the Swiss goalkeeper with a shot on target.

6
Aouar

Attempted to create a scoring opportunity with an unselfish pass.

Switzerland
9
Johan Manzambi13'–57'

Contributed a goal and a crucial assist, directly impacting two of Switzerland's goals.

1goals

Match timeline

13'assist from Manzambi
57'Manzambi scores for Switzerland, extending their lead to 2-0.
8
Breel Embolo8'–13'

Scored Switzerland's opening goal and maintained a strong attacking presence.

1goals1shots1on target

Match timeline

8'Embolo's shot
13'Breel Embolo scores for Switzerland after a strong run and assist from Manzambi.
8
Rubén Vargas38'–75'

Scored a goal and maintained an attacking threat throughout the match.

1goals1shots1on target

Match timeline

38'Vargas scores for Switzerland, putting them ahead 1-0.
75'shot by Vargas
8
Gregor Kobel14'–142'

Made several critical saves, including from set pieces, to preserve Switzerland's lead.

4saves

Match timeline

14'Swiss goalkeeper Kobel makes a diving save from Larin's attempt.
75'Swiss goalkeeper makes a save from a shot by Vargas.
106'Kobel punches away a Canadian corner kick.
142'Kobel makes a save from a Canadian corner kick.
8
Dan Ndoye59'–59'

Scored a crucial goal by reacting quickly to a loose ball in the penalty area.

1goals

Match timeline

59'Ndoye scores for Switzerland, extending their lead to 2-0 after a scramble in the box.
6
Fabian Rieder70'–70'

Created a clear scoring chance but failed to convert it.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

70'close-range effort from Rieder

Match observations

  • The match was an exciting affair with both teams creating scoring opportunities.
  • Switzerland took a commanding lead in the second half with two quick goals.
  • Canada fought back, reducing the deficit and pressing for an equalizer.

如何阅读本页。 单场比赛的 Brier 和 log-loss 波动较大, 重要的是预测在多场比赛中的整体校准表现。本页是汇总校准计分板中的一行, 位于 /docs/calibration/. 此处显示的赛前概率是开球前锁定的, 比赛期间从未更新。