预测与结果对照 · Group I · Matchday 2

France vs Iraq

2026-06-22

回顾将在全场结束后发布。 比赛结束后, 本页将展示下方锁定的赛前预测与实际结果的对比: Brier score、log loss, 以及最终 xG 与预测 xG。在此之前, 可在以下页面实时关注 实时追踪.

Pre-match forecast

France win
81.9%
Draw
16.7%
Iraq win
1.5%
France
2.37
expected
goals
Iraq
0.39

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

France
8
Kylian Mbappé3'–453'

Consistently threatened the opposition goal with numerous shots and dangerous dribbles, despite being repeatedly denied by the goalkeeper.

12shots9on target1headers

Match timeline

3'Kylian Mbappé (France) shoots, but the goalkeeper makes a save.
8'Mbappe's shot is blocked by a defender
8'Kylian Mbappé (France) shoots, saved by the goalkeeper.
9'Kylian Mbappé (France) shoots, saved by the goalkeeper.
11'Kylian Mbappé (France) shoots, saved by the goalkeeper.
14'Kylian Mbappé (France) shoots, saved by the goalkeeper.
19'Kylian Mbappé (France) shoots, saved by the goalkeeper.
20'Kylian Mbappé (France) shoots, saved by the goalkeeper.
23'Mbappe attempts a shot, which is blocked
26'Goalkeeper makes a diving save from Mbappe's powerful shot
36'Mbappe's dribble and shot are blocked by defenders
131'Mbappe's pass is intercepted in the box
348'Mbappe's header goes wide
453'Goalkeeper makes a save from Mbappe's shot
8
Rayan Cherki595'–607'

Scored a crucial goal for France with a powerful shot, demonstrating quick feet and vision.

1goals1shots1on target

Match timeline

595'Goalkeeper makes a save from Cherki's shot
607'Cherki scores for France with a powerful shot into the bottom corner
7
Ousmane Dembélé1'–13'

Active on the right wing, consistently creating chances and forcing saves with his dribbling and shots.

3shots3on target

Match timeline

1'Ousmane Dembélé (France) shoots, but the goalkeeper makes a save.
6'Ousmane Dembélé (France) shoots, saved by the goalkeeper.
13'Ousmane Dembélé (France) shoots, saved by the goalkeeper.
7
N'Golo Kanté

Provided essential defensive cover and maintained effective ball distribution in the midfield.

7
Mike Maignan2'–7'

Made crucial saves early in the match to deny the opposition's attacking efforts and maintain France's advantage.

2saves

Match timeline

2'Marko Farji (Iraq) has a shot on goal, saved by Mike Maignan (France).
7'Aymen Hussein (Iraq) shoots, saved by Mike Maignan (France).
7
Marcus Thuram52'–328'

Used his physical presence effectively to draw fouls and create space, registering one shot on target.

1shots1on target2fouls won

Match timeline

52'Thuram is brought down by an opponent
56'Thuram is fouled near the penalty area
328'Goalkeeper makes a save from Thuram's shot
6
Désiré Doué10'–10'

Registered one shot on target after getting into a good attacking position.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

10'Désiré Doué (France) shoots, saved by the goalkeeper.
Iraq
9
Ahmed Basil

Was a standout performer, making a remarkable string of excellent and crucial saves to keep his team in the match against relentless French attacks.

8
G. Doue

Scored a well-taken goal for the away team, showing composure in front of goal and initiating a comeback.

8
Ahmad

Scored a powerful late goal, showcasing clinical finishing under pressure to complete the comeback.

6
Marko Farji2'–2'

Registered one shot on target, providing a brief moment of attacking threat for the away team.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

2'Marko Farji (Iraq) has a shot on goal, saved by Mike Maignan (France).

Match observations

  • The match was a lively affair with both teams creating numerous scoring opportunities. France initially dominated possession and created more chances, but Ivory Coast remained a threat on the counter-attack.
  • The game saw a significant increase in intensity and goal-scoring action in the second half, with both sides finding the net.
  • Individual skill and quick transitions were prominent features, leading to an exciting contest that went down to the wire.

如何阅读本页。 单场比赛的 Brier 和 log-loss 波动较大, 重要的是预测在多场比赛中的整体校准表现。本页是汇总校准计分板中的一行, 位于 /docs/calibration/. 此处显示的赛前概率是开球前锁定的, 比赛期间从未更新。