预测与结果对照 · Group K · Matchday 1

Portugal vs DR Congo

2026-06-17

回顾将在全场结束后发布。 比赛结束后, 本页将展示下方锁定的赛前预测与实际结果的对比: Brier score、log loss, 以及最终 xG 与预测 xG。在此之前, 可在以下页面实时关注 实时追踪.

Pre-match forecast

Portugal win
74.1%
Draw
21.8%
DR Congo win
4.0%
Portugal
1.81
expected
goals
DR Congo
0.47

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Portugal
8
João Neves5'–5'

Scored the opening goal for Portugal with a well-placed header, providing an early lead.

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Match timeline

5'João Neves scores for Portugal with a header from a cross.
5'João Neves scores for Portugal with a header from a cross.
7
Nuno Mendes17'–17'

Made a dangerous attacking run and had a shot on target, showing good offensive contribution from defense.

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Match timeline

17'Nuno Mendes makes a good run into the box, but his shot is blocked by the goalkeeper.
7
Conceição67'–67'

Provided a good pass that created a clear scoring opportunity for Ronaldo.

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Match timeline

67'Ronaldo misses a close-range shot after a good pass from Conceição.
6
Bernardo Silva31'–31'

Was fouled, leading to a yellow card for an opponent, but had no other significant contributions.

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Match timeline

31'Yellow card shown to a Congo DR player (Moutoussamy #8) for a foul on Bernardo Silva.
5
Cristiano Ronaldo12'–67'

Missed a clear close-range opportunity, failing to convert a significant chance for Portugal.

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Match timeline

12'Yellow card shown to a Congo DR player (Mbemba #22) after a foul on Ronaldo.
67'Ronaldo misses a close-range shot after a good pass from Conceição.
5
Nélson Semedo87'–87'

Received a yellow card late in the game for a foul, impacting his defensive rating.

1fouls1 yellow
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Match timeline

87'Yellow card shown to Portugal's Nélson Semedo (#2) for a foul.
87'Yellow card shown to Portugal's Nélson Semedo (#2) for a foul.
DR Congo
8
Wissa45'–45'

Scored the crucial equalizer for Congo DR just before half-time and showed attacking threat with another shot.

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Match timeline

45'Wissa scores for Congo DR with a header from a corner kick, equalizing the score.
45'Wissa scores for Congo DR with a header from a corner kick, equalizing the score.
7
Bakambu55'–55'

Created a significant chance by hitting the post, demonstrating his attacking threat.

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Match timeline

55'Congo DR's Bakambu hits the post after a good build-up inside the box.
5
Mbemba12'–12'

Received a yellow card for a foul, impacting his defensive rating.

1fouls1 yellow
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Match timeline

12'Yellow card shown to a Congo DR player (Mbemba #22) after a foul on Ronaldo.
12'Yellow card shown to a Congo DR player (Mbemba #22) after a foul on Ronaldo.
5
Moutoussamy31'–31'

Received a yellow card for a foul, impacting his defensive rating.

1fouls1 yellow
▼

Match timeline

31'Yellow card shown to a Congo DR player (Moutoussamy #8) for a foul on Bernardo Silva.
31'Yellow card shown to a Congo DR player (Moutoussamy #8) for a foul on Bernardo Silva.
5
Banza90'–90'

Received a yellow card for a foul at the very end of the match.

1fouls1 yellow
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Match timeline

90'Yellow card shown to Congo DR's Banza (#17) for a foul.
90'Yellow card shown to Congo DR's Banza (#17) for a foul.

Match observations

  • The match ended in a 1-1 draw, with both teams scoring a goal each.
  • Portugal took an early lead, but Congo DR managed to equalize just before half-time.
  • Both teams had significant chances throughout the game, including shots hitting the post and good saves from the goalkeepers.
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如何阅读本页。 单场比赛的 Brier 和 log-loss 波动较大, 重要的是预测在多场比赛中的整体校准表现。本页是汇总校准计分板中的一行, 位于 /docs/calibration/. 此处显示的赛前概率是开球前锁定的, 比赛期间从未更新。