预测与结果对照 · Group B · Matchday 1
Qatar vs Switzerland
2026-06-13
Post-match calibration
Pre-match probability vs realised outcome
- Qatar win8.4%
- Draw· realised18.4%
- Switzerland win73.2%
Brier and log-loss on a single fixture are noisy; the calibration plot in the post-tournament research note aggregates these across every match.
Key moments
B. Embolo (Switzerland)
M. Muheim (Qatar)
Match statistics
Scoreline prediction
The actual scoreline (1–1) was outside the model's top 5 predicted outcomes.
Team performance
The team showed resilience to secure a draw despite significant disciplinary issues and defensive vulnerabilities.
Despite dominating possession and creating numerous opportunities, Switzerland failed to secure a win and conceded a late equaliser.
Video analysis: player performance
Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.
8Mahmud Abunada4'–5'Made numerous crucial saves to keep his team in the game, despite conceding a penalty and receiving a yellow card.
2saves▼
Made numerous crucial saves to keep his team in the game, despite conceding a penalty and receiving a yellow card.
Match timeline
7Boualem KhoukhiScored a dramatic late equalizer but also received a yellow card.
Scored a dramatic late equalizer but also received a yellow card.
6Akram Afif1'–1'Had an early shot on target but otherwise had no significant impact.
1shots1on target▼
Had an early shot on target but otherwise had no significant impact.
Match timeline
6Ahmed AlaaeldinCame on as a substitute and had a shot that went wide.
Came on as a substitute and had a shot that went wide.
6Karim BoudiafEntered as a substitute and committed a foul.
Entered as a substitute and committed a foul.
6Pedro MiguelCommitted a foul during his time on the pitch.
Committed a foul during his time on the pitch.
6Assim MadiboCommitted a foul before being substituted.
Committed a foul before being substituted.
6Ahmed FathyCame on as a substitute without making a notable impact.
Came on as a substitute without making a notable impact.
6Yusuf AbdurisagPlayed for part of the match without making a significant impact.
Played for part of the match without making a significant impact.
6Mohamed Al-MannaiCame on as a substitute without making a notable impact.
Came on as a substitute without making a notable impact.
6Ayoub Al-OuiPlayed for part of the match without making a significant impact.
Played for part of the match without making a significant impact.
6Hassan AlhaydosCame on as a late substitute without making a notable impact.
Came on as a late substitute without making a notable impact.
5Edmilson Junior1'–1'Failed to convert two significant scoring opportunities.
1shots▼
Failed to convert two significant scoring opportunities.
Match timeline
4Jassem GaberReceived two yellow cards for fouls, leading to his dismissal.
Received two yellow cards for fouls, leading to his dismissal.
8Breel EmboloScored the opening goal from the penalty spot with composure.
Scored the opening goal from the penalty spot with composure.
7Remo FreulerWon the penalty that led to his team's opening goal.
Won the penalty that led to his team's opening goal.
7Ruben VargasWas fouled twice, leading to two yellow cards for an opponent, and had several shots.
Was fouled twice, leading to two yellow cards for an opponent, and had several shots.
7Gregor Kobel1'–1'Made good saves to deny early Qatar attacks and maintain his team's lead for most of the game.
1saves▼
Made good saves to deny early Qatar attacks and maintain his team's lead for most of the game.
Match timeline
7Dan Ndoye4'–5'Created numerous attacking opportunities, forced several saves, and was fouled.
2shots2on target▼
Created numerous attacking opportunities, forced several saves, and was fouled.
Match timeline
6Granit XhakaHad a couple of shots but did not make a decisive impact.
Had a couple of shots but did not make a decisive impact.
6Denis ZakariaHad shots on goal but did not significantly influence the game.
Had shots on goal but did not significantly influence the game.
6Silvan WidmerCame on as a late substitute without making a notable impact.
Came on as a late substitute without making a notable impact.
6Ricardo RodriguezPlayed for most of the match without making a significant impact.
Played for most of the match without making a significant impact.
6Michel AebischerHad a shot on target before being substituted.
Had a shot on target before being substituted.
6Fabian RiederCame on as a substitute and had a shot saved.
Came on as a substitute and had a shot saved.
6Zeki AmdouniWas fouled during his time on the pitch.
Was fouled during his time on the pitch.
6Johan ManzambiCame on as a substitute, was fouled, and had a shot saved.
Came on as a substitute, was fouled, and had a shot saved.
Match observations
- The match was a closely contested affair, with both teams creating opportunities. Switzerland initially gained a lead from a penalty, but Qatar fought back to secure a late equaliser.
- Qatar's goalkeeper, Mahmoud Abunada, delivered a strong performance, making numerous saves to keep his team in contention throughout the game.
- The game saw a dramatic finish, with Qatar scoring in stoppage time to level the score, leading to jubilant celebrations from their players and fans.