Tahmin ve sonuç · Group C · Matchday 2
Brazil - Haiti
2026-06-19
Post-match calibration
Pre-match probability vs realised outcome
- Brazil win· realised86.9%
- Draw11.3%
- Haiti win1.8%
Brier and log-loss on a single fixture are noisy; the calibration plot in the post-tournament research note aggregates these across every match.
Key moments
M. Cunha (Brazil)
M. Cunha (Brazil)
Vinicius Junior
Vinicius Junior (Brazil)
Lucas Paqueta
Match statistics
Scoreline prediction
The actual scoreline (3–0) was the model's #1 most likely outcome at 14.0%.
Team performance
Brazil's dominant 3-0 victory, marked by strong attacking output and control, suggests they are in excellent form.
The team's current form suggests significant challenges in generating offensive opportunities.
Video analysis: player performance
Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.
8Matheus CunhaScored the crucial opening goal with excellent anticipation and predatory instincts.
1goals▼
Scored the crucial opening goal with excellent anticipation and predatory instincts.
Match timeline
9Haiti GoalkeeperMade numerous crucial saves, including a double save, to prevent a much larger defeat for Haiti.
3saves▼
Made numerous crucial saves, including a double save, to prevent a much larger defeat for Haiti.
Match timeline
6Dominique SimonMade a crucial defensive clearance to prevent a goal for Haiti under significant pressure.
▼
Made a crucial defensive clearance to prevent a goal for Haiti under significant pressure.
Match timeline
Match observations
- Brazil secured a comfortable 3-0 victory over Haiti in a match where they largely dominated proceedings.
- The Brazilian side showcased their attacking prowess, creating numerous opportunities and converting three of them, though two other goals were ruled out for offside.
- Haiti's defence, particularly their goalkeeper, put in a resilient performance, making several crucial interventions to prevent a larger deficit.