Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Curaçao vs Ecuador

كأس العالم FIFA 2026·المجموعة E·المواجهات المباشرة

Snapshot · 2026-05-28Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Standard Pass for probabilities

The model publishes calibrated win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

CalibrationBacktested to a 0.572 Brier score across 987 out-of-sample major-tournament matches (2014–2024): lower is better, and a no-skill 1-in-3 guess scores 0.667. In plain terms, outcomes the model rated 70% likely happened about 70% of the time. Live scoring begins 2026-06-11. See the scoreboard →

المواجهات المباشرة عبر التاريخ

لا توجد مواجهات دولية مسجّلة بين Curaçao وEcuador.

Recent form

CuraçaoWLLLD
  • 2026-06-06 · Aruba4–0
  • 2026-05-30 · Scotland1–4
  • 2026-03-31 · Australia1–5
  • 2026-03-27 · China0–2
  • 2025-11-18 · Jamaica0–0
EcuadorWWDDW
  • 2026-06-07 · Guatemala3–0
  • 2026-05-30 · Saudi Arabia2–1
  • 2026-03-31 · Netherlands1–1
  • 2026-03-27 · Morocco1–1
  • 2025-11-18 · New Zealand2–0

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

CuraçaoEcuador
#1 of 12Average match rating#4 of 10
#1 of 12Goals scored / match#7 of 10
#4 of 12Expected goals#6 of 10
#4 of 29Big chances#4 of 10
#4 of 12Shots on target#5 of 10
#4 of 12Possession#5 of 10
#7 of 12Passing#4 of 10
#2 of 12Goals conceded / match#1 of 10

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — Curaçao: World Cup Qualification CONCACAF 2024/2025; Ecuador: World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

أسئلة شائعة

What is the head-to-head record between Curaçao and Ecuador?
Curaçao and Ecuador have no recorded senior international meetings.
What does the model predict for Curaçao vs Ecuador?
OnThePitch's model makes Ecuador the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.
When do Curaçao and Ecuador play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group E. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

مواجهات أخرى في المجموعة E

كيف يُحسَب هذا. احتمالات الفوز/التعادل/الفوز تأتي من مجموعة Dixon-Coles معايَرة. انظر المنهجية.